The (structural) gravity of epidemics
نویسندگان
چکیده
Epidemiological models assume gravity-like interactions of individuals across space without microfoundations. We combine a simple epidemiological framework with dynamic model individual location choice. The predicts that flows people obey structural gravity equation. By means an application to data from Great Britain we show our structural-gravity framework: provides rationale for quarantines; offers clear mapping observed geography the spread disease; and makes it possible evaluate welfare impact (expected unexpected) mobility restrictions in face deadly epidemic.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: European Economic Review
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['1873-572X', '0014-2921']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2022.104082